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Thứ Ba, 17 tháng 2, 2009

Wal-Mart profit beats Wall St view

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By Nicole Maestri

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wal-Mart Stores Inc posted a profit that beat Wall Street forecasts, fueled by sales at its namesake U.S. discount stores, and said it expects to outperform rivals as a global downturn forces shoppers to seek low prices.

Shares in the world's largest retailer rose 3 percent on the results, as investors shrugged off fears of a deeper global recession that prompted stock declines in the wider U.S. market.

"They kind of did everything right," said Joseph Feldman, a retail analyst with Telsey Advisory Group. "They're going to start buying back stock, they continue to control inventory well, February is off to a good start, and guidance for next year is as good as you could have hoped."

Wal-Mart said U.S. sales rose 6 percent in the quarter as it attracted more shoppers trying to save money. International sales slid 8.4 percent due to a stronger U.S. dollar, while sales at its Sam's Club warehouse clubs were flat.

Wal-Mart's sales have been outpacing direct competitors like Target Corp and Costco as well as lower-priced department stores like J.C. Penney in recent months as consumers stretch limited budgets by shopping in its stores for necessities like food and medicine.

"Our performance relative to competitors was exceptionally strong in the fourth quarter and throughout the year," Chief Executive Mike Duke said in a statement. "We expect this momentum to continue."

Profit fell to $3.79 billion, or 96 cents per share, for its fiscal fourth quarter, ended January 31, from $4.096 billion, or $1.02 share, a year ago.

Excluding a 7 cent charge per share for the settlement of class-action lawsuits, earnings came to $1.03 per share. Analysts, on average, had expected the company to earn 99 cents per share, according to Reuters Estimates.

Chief Financial Officer Tom Schoewe said in an interview that strong U.S. sales in January and a lower tax rate contributed to the better-than-expected results.

SAM WALTON'S TIME

To win business during the fourth quarter, which included the crucial holiday sales season, Wal-Mart said it spent more on advertising to tout its low prices.

"These guys are gaining share and doing much better than their competitors," said Christian Andreach, a managing director at money management firm Manning & Napier Advisors. "Even in the discount channel, they're doing very well."

Quarterly net sales rose 1.7 percent to $108 billion.

Sales at U.S. stores open at least a year rose 2.8 percent overall, with increases of 2.8 percent at the company's namesake stores and 2.5 percent at the Sam's Club division.

"The business model that Sam Walton created is perfectly positioned for the environment we live in now," Duke said, referring to the company's founder. "I do believe this is Wal-Mart's time." Continued...

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Liberty to lend Sirius $530 million; Sirius shares jump

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NEW YORK (Reuters) - John Malone's Liberty Media Corp has agreed to lend $530 million to Sirius XM Radio Inc in exchange for a 40 percent equity stake, saving the satellite radio provider from possible bankruptcy and sending its shares up 100 percent.

The deal also helps Sirius Chief Executive Mel Karmazin fend off a potential takeover bid by Charles Ergen's EchoStar Corp, which has purchased hundreds of millions of Sirius's total debt of about $3.25 billion.

Under the agreement, Liberty would first provide a $280 million senior secured loan to Sirius XM, of which $250 million would be funded on Tuesday to help the satellite radio company repay $171.6 million in convertible notes maturing today.

Then Liberty would provide another $150 million loan to XM Satellite Radio, Sirius XM's wholly owned subsidiary, and also purchase up to $100 million of XM's credit facilities.

Once the loans are completed, Sirius XM would issue Liberty 12.5 million shares of preferred stock convertible into 40 percent of common stock.

Liberty, which owns a controlling stake in satellite TV provider DirecTV Group Inc, would also receive seats on Sirius XM's board, and expects Malone and Liberty Chief Executive Greg Maffei to join the board.

The deal comes after days of talks between the two companies as pressure mounted on Karmazin to raise funds to address some $1 billion in debt due this year.

Karmazin said in a statement that he was pleased with the agreement "particularly in light of today's challenging credit markets" and that it would enhance Sirius XM's capital structure and financial flexibility.

It was not clear what Liberty's plans are for Sirius XM, but analysts noted that Malone was receiving a lucrative 15 percent interest rate on its $280 million, which matures in December 2012.

"We think that John Malone and Charlie Ergen's strategies are different. We think that Charlie Ergen's strategy may have been more about creating a broader strategic play in wireless services as he has attempted mobile video before," said Thomas Eagan, analyst at Collins Stewart.

"For John Malone it's more of a financial investment, especially with a 15 percent rate. He had this venture fund with cash available and he figured this was a worthwhile investment."

Sirius has been trying to refinance debt since its acquisition of rival satellite radio provider XM, which was approved last July.

But tight credit markets and the weak near-term outlook for satellite radio -- due to the slowdown in retail demand and downturn in the car industry where satellite radio gains most of its news subscribers -- has made that tough.

Maffei, however, said Liberty has been impressed with Sirius's operations and management team. "Sirius XM's ability to grow subscribers and revenue in a difficult financial and auto market is indicative of how listeners view this as a "must have" service," Maffei said in a statement.

Sirius said the deal does not constitute a change in control for the company under its outstanding debt instruments, and is not subject to approval of the U.S. Federal Communications Commission.

Shares of Sirius doubled to 21 cents in early trading on the Nasdaq.

(Reporting by Franklin Paul, Yinka Adegoke and Tiffany Wu, editing by Dave Zimmerman)

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Toyota's U.S. workers avoid layoff threat for now

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By Jim Forsyth

SAN ANTONIO (Reuters) - Even though Toyota Motor Corp touts its mighty Tundra pickup as "the truck that's changing it all," workers who build it in San Antonio are not immune from the threat of layoffs that have beset the Big Three U.S. automakers.

Opening the $1.2 billion plant in San Antonio in early 2007 was part of Toyota's public relations campaign to displace big U.S. truck makers like Ford, Chevy and Dodge in Texas, the world's largest market for full-sized pickup trucks.

But Toyota's timing in San Antonio could hardly have been worse.

In 2008, U.S. gasoline prices hit $4 a gallon, triggering a sharp drop in demand for gas-guzzling trucks like the Tundra. Toyota can produce nearly 200,000 Tundras a year in San Antonio, but North American sales fell to 137,000 in 2008 from 196,000 in 2007.

As U.S. automakers shut down plants and clamor for government funds in the face of a sharp drop in vehicle sales and a deepening recession, Toyota, the world's No. 1 automaker, is resisting job cuts for its 1,900 workers in San Antonio, instead reducing the workweek in the hopes sales will pick up.

But as Toyota faces its first corporate loss in its 70-year history, the automaker for the first time is offering buyouts to 18,000 of its U.S. workers in an attempt to thin its factory workforce voluntarily.

Worries about layoffs, which have cost 140,000 jobs at factories operated by U.S. automakers since 2005, also hang over San Antonio and "Toyota towns" in Indiana and Kentucky.

San Antonio attorney Julian Castro, a former City Council member who helped lure Toyota in 2003 to the Texas city of 1.3 million people, said he was "terribly concerned" the company might decide to cut jobs at the plant.

With the drop in Tundra sales, Toyota last week unveiled its 2010 Tundra, which can be fitted with a smaller, more fuel-efficient V8 engine.

"When the heat is on, failure ain't an option," the announcer says in a Tundra ad titled "Super Heat" that debuted during the 2009 Super Bowl.

After constructing two U.S. factories to build the Tundra, Toyota later this year will shift Tundra production from its Indiana plant to San Antonio and consolidate all production of the vehicle there.

San Antonio workers in November wrapped up a three-month production halt, where they drew full pay even while the plant was idled.

San Antonio plant worker Lori Williams remains upbeat.

"We're very positive," Williams said. "Everybody here is very glad they are not getting laid off. That's pretty much across the board."

CONFRONTING THE DOWNTURN Continued...

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Trump Entertainment files for bankruptcy

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By Kyle Peterson

CHICAGO (Reuters) - Trump Entertainment Resorts Inc, the casino operator named for Donald Trump, filed for bankruptcy protection on Tuesday as recession and declining gambling revenues battered the company and its rivals.

The Chapter 11 filing marks the third plunge into bankruptcy for the company, which was created out of a restructuring in 2005. It also underscores the struggles facing the casino business as recession squeezes casino gambling.

Trump Entertainment owns and operates three casino hotels in hard-hit Atlantic City, New Jersey, including the Trump Taj Mahal, Trump Plaza and Trump Marina.

The company did not request debtor-in-possession financing to operate during its restructuring and said it would continue to run as normal.

"This filing will result in no immediate change in our daily operations, and we expect to make no changes regarding our operating structure or philosophy," Trump Chief Executive Mark Juliano said in a statement.

Nine affiliates of the casino operator including Trump Plaza Associates, Trump Plaza Associates, Trump Marina Associates and Trump Taj Mahal Associates simultaneously sought protection, according to the filing.

Trump had assets of about $2.1 billion and total debts of about $1.74 billion on December 31, 2008, it said in its filing with the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the District of New Jersey.

The company, eager to conserve cash, missed a $53.1 million bond interest payment due on December 1 as a sharp downturn in consumer spending hit casino revenue, prompting bondholders to push for bankruptcy.

WIDELY EXPECTED

Experts had been looking for a Chapter 11 filing from Trump since it missed the December 1 bond interest payment.

"It had been moving in this direction for two months," said KeyBanc gaming industry analyst Dennis Forst.

"I think (restructuring) could take a while," he said. "Obviously, they weren't able to restructure it with the debt holders in the two months they had."

The filing comes days after the casino operator's namesake founder said he would resign from the board over disagreements with bondholders who wanted the company to file for bankruptcy.

Friday's statement did not say when Trump's resignation would be offered or take effect. His daughter Ivanka Trump also said she was resigning.

Trump, a very public and flamboyant figure in an industry filled with colorful, headstrong executives, said the company represents less than 1 percent of his net worth, and that "my investment in it is worthless to me now." Continued...

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GM and Chrysler ready survival plans

By Kevin Krolicki and Christiaan Hetzner

DETROIT/STUTTGART (Reuters) - General Motors Corp and Chrysler LLC raced to finish restructuring plans for the U.S. government that will outline aggressive cost-cutting, but are expected to stop short of delivering final deals to cut debt and labor costs.

Shares of GM fell more than 11 percent on Tuesday and analysts said the recent showdown between GM, its bondholders and the United Auto Workers (UAW) union underscored the heightened risk of bankruptcy for the top U.S. automaker.

GM and the UAW remained locked at midday in Detroit in negotiations, which were expected to run right up until the afternoon when the embattled automaker is slated to submit its survival plan to U.S. President Barack Obama's administration.

GM and the UAW made progress over the weekend in talks on labor concessions, and its bondholders submitted proposals to cut $28 billion in debt through an exchange for equity.

Both sets of discussions are crucial to GM's effort to use $13.4 billion in federal funding to restructure without having to file for bankruptcy protection.

But without final deals in place, GM will be forced to signal a readiness to use a government-financed bankruptcy process in a final bid to win concessions to slash costs and debt, analysts said.

Until now, GM Chief Executive Rick Wagoner and other executives had held to a line that a bankruptcy filing would spin out of control into a liquidation because it would scare off remaining car shoppers.

But the company's senior leadership is now open to the prospect of a government-financed bankruptcy if that can be done quickly to rewrite contracts with creditors, the UAW and suppliers, a person involved in the talks has said.

A similar change in thinking appears to have taken hold inside the Obama administration, an analyst said.

"We sense some senior administration officials have evolved to the view that the risk to GM's revenues of a government-funded Chapter 11 bankruptcy is probably now lessened though still significant," JP Morgan analyst Himanshu Patel said on Tuesday.

While the struggling U.S. automakers put the finishing touches to blueprints showing how they aim to pay back billions of dollars of government loans, Chrysler's German ex-owner Daimler said its remaining 19.9 percent stake in the Detroit-based manufacturer had forced it to post a steep fourth-quarter loss.

COST-CUTTING IN FOCUS

The restructuring blueprints from GM and Chrysler will outline plans by both automakers to shed capacity and cut jobs in hopes of returning to profitability as the U.S. auto market sags to its lowest level in almost three decades.

"They will be fairly aggressive. It's not going to be a minimal effort," said David Cole, chairman of the Center for Automotive Research in Ann Arbor, Michigan.

Wagoner was expected to hold a press conference later on Tuesday to discuss the automaker's plan. Continued...

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Thứ Hai, 16 tháng 2, 2009

Third-Quarter Banking Report

Nine banks failed in the third quarter, the highest quarterly total in 15 years

Posted December 1, 2008
  • 9: Number of banks that failed in the third quarter (highest quarterly total in 15 years)
  • 171: Number of banks on the FDIC's "Problem List" as of the third quarter (the highest since 1995, when there were 193 on the list)
  • 117: Number of banks on the FDIC's "Problem List" as of the second quarter
  • $115.6 billion: Assets of the "problem" institutions in the third quarter (the first time since 1994 that assets of "problem" banks have exceeded $100 billion)
  • $78.3 billion: Assets of the "problem" institutions in the second quarter
  • $1.7 billion: Third-quarter net income
  • 94 percent: Decline in net income from the third quarter of 2007 (when net income was $27 billion)
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Top 5 Banks Hit Hardest by the Alleged Madoff Fraud (So Far)

Top 5 Banks Hit Hardest by the Alleged Madoff Fraud (So Far)

And $29 billion of the $50 billion exposed is still unaccounted for

Posted December 17, 2008
  1. Fairfield Greenwich — $7.5 billion
  2. Santander — $3.1 billion
  3. Kingate $2.5 billion
  4. Fortis Bank Nederland $1.3 billion
  5. HSBC — $1 billion
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Job Universe: Bank Tellers

Posted December 11, 2008
  • The job: The teller is the worker most people associate with their bank. Among the responsibilities of tellers are cashing checks, accepting deposits and loan payments, and processing withdrawals. Tellers make up approximately one fourth of bank employees and conduct most of a bank's routine transactions. Tellers in many banks are being cross-trained to perform some of the functions of customer service representatives.
  • Outlook: Banks are opening new branch offices in a variety of locations, such as grocery stores and shopping malls. Banks are also keeping their branches open longer during the day and on weekends. Both of these trends are expected to increase job opportunities for tellers, particularly those who work part time. Most openings will arise from the need to replace the many tellers who transfer to other occupations.
  • Experience: Most tellers are required to have at least a high school diploma, but some have completed some college training or even a bachelor's degree in business, accounting, or liberal arts. Once hired, tellers usually receive on-the-job training. Tellers should enjoy contact with the public. They must have a strong aptitude for numbers and feel comfortable handling large amounts of money. They should be discreet and trustworthy because they frequently come in contact with confidential material.
  • The not-so-good: Tellers work in an office environment. They may experience eye and muscle strain, backaches, headaches, and repetitive motion injuries as a result of using computers every day. Tellers may have to sit for extended periods while reviewing detailed data.
  • Pay: Salaries of tellers vary with experience, region of the country, size of city, and type and size of establishment. Median annual earnings of tellers were $22,140 in May 2006. The middle 50 percent earned between $19,300 and $25,880 a year.
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'People Are Outraged' Over Banking Situation

'People Are Outraged' Over Banking Situation

Mortgage help for homeowners is coming, says Rep. Barney Frank

Posted February 13, 2009

House Financial Services Committee Chairman Barney Frank is warning banks eager for TARP II money that the public doesn't support the bailout and that Congress is not likely to OK spending the second half of the $700 billion package until Wall Street changes its ways. Frank said the treasury will soon announce a major plan to help troubled homeowners avoid foreclosures by, in some cases, reducing mortgage payments.

In a breakfast round table with reporters, Frank said that the public is angry that the banks haven't started to lend more money. He said that people are also mad at CEO pay, purchases of executive jets, and even stadium naming rights. While he said that it is inevitable that some bankers will be rewarded with TARP funds, it is the responsibility of banks and financial institutions receiving the money to win the public's support.

"People are outraged," said Frank, who strongly backs CEO pay caps and has indicated support for limiting lobbying expenses by the institutions.

He warned that until the public turns around to support spending TARP II money, none will be approved by Congress. "I am confident you won't see that going forward," he told reporters. In the meantime, he said, Congress will start drawing up legislation to regulate and punish the industry, starting with pay caps. He said the legislation should be ready by summer.

On the housing crisis, Frank said he anticipates that the awaited treasury measures will include a $50 billion plan that will cut house payments to a level that people can afford. Frank, who discussed mortgage issues at a dinner with Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner and others this week, said that the goal of the program will be to help those in troubled mortgages stay in their houses. One plan to cut the loan principal to what owners can afford will very likely include a payment-to-income ratio that homeowners will have to meet. Franks indicated that those in troubled mortgages will have to pay a minimum of 31 percent of their income for house payments. He didn't give many details on the plan to help with foreclosures but put a price tag on it of $50 billion.

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Stimulus Plan Places New Limits on Wall St. Bonuses

Stimulus Plan Places New Limits on Wall St. Bonuses

Published: February 13, 2009

WASHINGTON — A provision buried deep inside the $787 billion economic stimulus bill would impose restrictions on executive bonuses at financial institutions that are much tougher than those proposed 10 days ago by the Treasury Department.

The provision, inserted by Senate Democrats over the objections of the Obama administration, is aimed at companies that have received financial bailout funds. It would prohibit cash bonuses and almost all other incentive compensation for the five most senior officers and the 20 highest-paid executives at large companies that receive money under the Treasury’s Troubled Asset Relief Program, or TARP.

The stimulus package was approved by the House on Friday, then by the Senate in the late evening.

The pay restrictions resemble those that the Treasury Department announced this month, but are likely to ensnare more executives at many more companies and also to cut more deeply into the bonuses that often account for the bulk of annual pay.

The restriction with the most bite would bar top executives from receiving bonuses exceeding one-third of their annual pay. Any bonus would have to be in the form of long-term incentives, like restricted stock, which could not be cashed out until the TARP money was repaid in full.

The provision, written by Senator Christopher J. Dodd, Democrat of Connecticut, highlighted the growing wrath among lawmakers and voters over the lavish compensation that top Wall Street firms and big banks awarded to senior executives at the same time that many of the companies, teetering on the brink of insolvency, received taxpayer-paid bailouts.

“The decisions of certain Wall Street executives to enrich themselves at the expense of taxpayers have seriously undermined public confidence,” Mr. Dodd said Friday. “These tough new rules will help ensure that taxpayer dollars no longer effectively subsidize lavish Wall Street bonuses.”

Top economic advisers to President Obama adamantly opposed the pay restrictions, according to Congressional officials, warning lawmakers behind closed doors that they went too far and would cause a brain drain in the financial industry during an acute crisis. Another worry is the tougher restrictions may encourage executives to more quickly pay back the government’s investments since, in a compromise with the financial industry, banks no longer have to replace federal funds with private capital. That could remove an extra capital cushion, further reducing lending.

The legislatively imposed pay curbs are, in essence, a bad report card for the Treasury secretary, Timothy F. Geithner, for failing to be tough enough on companies getting bailout money. His long-awaited bank rescue plan also received harsh reviews when it was released this week.

But some experts on executive compensation warned that the restrictions could unleash unintended consequences, like encouraging banks to increase salaries to make up for diminished incentive pay. Even then, they warned, banks were likely to lose top talent.

“These rules will not work,” James F. Reda, an independent compensation consultant, said on Friday. “Any smart executive will (a) pay back TARP money ASAP or (b) get another job.”

The biggest difference between Mr. Dodd’s provision and the Treasury rules is that the new stimulus provision would apply to any company that either has received money or will receive money in the future under the Treasury’s financial rescue program. By contrast, the plan announced by Mr. Geithner would apply only to companies that receive federal money in the future.

The revised rules do not impose a formal cap on executive compensation, unlike the Treasury proposal. Under that plan, banks were barred from paying more than $500,000 in salary until they repaid the TARP funds to the government. (Banks were permitted to offer bonuses in restricted stock.) Senator Dodd’s rules, however, go a step further, prohibiting banks from awarding restricted stock to 25 top executives equal to more than one-third of their annual cash compensation until the banks have repaid all the money owed.

In addition, the Congressional rules would affect not just a bank’s top management, but also star traders, investment bankers, fund managers and commission-based sales representatives. They have traditionally received multimillion-dollar payouts based on their year-end results.

Jennifer R. Psaki, a spokeswoman for the White House, said President Obama “shares a deep concern about excessive executive compensation at financial firms that are receiving extraordinary assistance from American taxpayers.”

But she hinted at the White House’s displeasure, saying that Mr. Obama “looks forward to working with Congress to responsibly address this issue.”

One unintended effect, compensation experts said, is that financial firms might increase banker salaries in order to increase the restricted stock awards. “About the only way to address these limits is to pay large salaries,” said Michael S. Melbinger, an executive compensation lawyer at Winston & Strawn in Chicago. “There’s no pay for performance in this.”

Others warned that because of the rules, firms might lose their best traders and managers to hedge funds and foreign banks.

Alan Johnson, a compensation consultant who advises many Wall Street banks, said that the rules would make it hard to recruit new managers, too.

“At some point, you begin to wonder: has the government given up on these companies anyway?” he said. “Why would the government or White House want to go along with that unless they have come to the conclusion they will have to nationalize these firms anyway?”

Edmund L. Andrews reported from Washington, and Eric Dash from New York.

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Losses Mount on Credit Cards for Retailers

Published: February 9, 2009

Though only a small corner of the credit card market, cards that can be used only at a single retailer are quickly turning into a big headache for their issuers.

The cards, known in the industry as private label credit cards, tend to be held by riskier borrowers with fewer credit options. Losses on the cards are rising at a faster pace than the broader credit card market — reaching a three-year high of 10.51 percent in January, according to Fitch Ratings, up 44 percent from a year ago. That compares with general credit card losses of 7.5 percent, up 40 percent from the year before.

While private label cards account for only about 11 percent of all credit card loans outstanding, their troubles offer a window into the deteriorating finances of some of the most distressed Americans. And the losses may prove to be a warning of deeper problems ahead for general cards as the economy weakens and unemployment climbs.

“The higher rate of charge-offs on private label reflects the impact that the economic downturn is having on all customer classes, with a particular strain on lower and middle-class income households,” said John Grund, a partner at First Annapolis, an advisory firm focused on the payments industry. “The next 12 months, 2009 into 2010, just doesn’t look real pretty as the jobless figures escalate.”

Perhaps the best indication of the strains on the market is that the largest issuer of private label cards, General Electric, has indicated that it would like to quit the business altogether.

G.E., which has a $32 billion portfolio of cards for companies like Wal-Mart and Lowe’s, put its unit up for sale in December 2007 but abandoned the effort in September after it failed to find a buyer.

The second-biggest issuer, Citigroup, which lends on behalf of retailers like Macy’s and Sears, listed its unit as one of its noncore businesses in an announcement last month that it would split the company in two.

The troubles in the private label card business may also further affect sales at retailers, which have already been reeling as consumers have cut back. Mr. Grund estimated that 30 to 40 percent of department store sales went on private label cards.

“Credit-tightening will shrink the amount of private label credit outstanding over time, but it will have an immediate impact on retail sales,” he added. “Consumers need financing to buy merchandise, especially big-ticket items, and issuers can cut too far to reduce loss exposure, making the recession even more problematic.”

Of course, some retailers, especially those that cater to more affluent consumers, are experiencing fewer losses, Nordstrom among them. And while some retailers continue to offer the cards at their registers in exchange for a same-day discount, the lenders have made it more difficult to qualify, much as they have done with traditional credit cards.

Fitch, which tracks $72 billion in receivables issued by banks on behalf of retailers, expects private label card losses to surpass 12 percent by midyear and losses on general cardholders with solid credit to reach 8 percent.

“Credit quality will continue to deteriorate for general-purpose cards, and at a rapid, more urgent pace for retail cards,” said Michael Dean, managing director at Fitch.

Though there are exceptions, private label cardholders tend to have less robust credit histories, and thus fewer pieces of plastic to choose from than the general population. They tend to use private label cards to finance bigger-ticket items like appliances and jewelry, experts said.

In contrast, traditional credit cards are typically held by consumers with stronger credit histories who seek rewards, like airline miles, or simply prefer the convenience of cards.

Delinquent payments on private label cards tend to be about 2 to 3 percentage points higher than on more widely used cards, card experts said.

“If you have a compromised economy, who do you pay last?” Robert Hammer, president of R. K. Hammer, a credit card advisory firm, said. “You pay the private label card and maybe your dentist” after all the other bills.

To balance their increased risks, private label issuers charge higher interest rates — from 21 to 24 percent on average, compared with an average of 14 to 17 percent on traditional credit cards, experts said.

Private card issuers build in other protections, too. “Limits tend to be lower,” said Steven Jacowitz, a director at Auriemma Consulting Group, and “you can’t get a cash advance, you can’t do a balance transfer and you can’t use it outside of the store.”

For Citigroup, private label and co-branded cards represent about 37 percent of its $149 billion card business. Losses on those cards totaled 9.86 percent at the end of the fourth quarter. And 3.26 percent of its loans were more than 90 days past due.

Two of the larger retailers that still operate their own card businesses, the Target Corporation and Nordstrom, have changed their policies, in part to deal with the deepening recession.

Target, which sold a 47 percent stake in its loans to JPMorgan Chase in May, has about $9.27 billion in loans outstanding. About 6 percent, or roughly $500 million, of the loans are on store-only cards; the rest of the loans are on Target Visa cards.

For December, Target said it had annualized losses of 12.28 percent. About 8.44 percent of loans were more than 30 days past due. From the end of 2007 through September, Target had cut total credit lines by 14.6 percent.

Target’s biggest losses first came in areas with the largest drop in home values, according to its third-quarter earnings conference call transcript. Now, those problems are in wider swaths.

Because most of Nordstrom’s customers have top-notch credit, losses in its $1.9 billion portfolio, which includes Nordstrom private label and Nordstrom Visa cards, have not been as severe as those of other private labels. Its losses were about 5.7 percent of its portfolio for the quarter ended Nov. 1, and 3.2 percent of loans were more than 30 days past due.

Whether their credit lines are shrinking or not, many consumers are choosing to keep a tighter grip on their wallets.

“When everyone is fearful about whether they will have a job in the next year or so,” said Marc G. Sczesnak, president of TD Retail Card Services, which issues cards for small and midsize retailers, “they are managing their personal balance sheets and reining in spending that is not absolutely necessary.”
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Job Losses Pose a Threat to Stability Worldwide

Job Losses Pose a Threat to Stability Worldwide

Greg Baker/Associated Press

CHINA A job fair in Beijing on Feb. 7. Millions of workers across China are looking for work but finding that factories are closing.

Published: February 14, 2009

PARIS — From lawyers in Paris to factory workers in China and bodyguards in Colombia, the ranks of the jobless are swelling rapidly across the globe.

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Ivan Alvarado/Reuters

CHILE In Santiago, graffiti says “unemployment is humiliation.”

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Worldwide job losses from the recession that started in the United States in December 2007 could hit a staggering 50 million by the end of 2009, according to the International Labor Organization, a United Nations agency. The slowdown has already claimed 3.6 million American jobs.

High unemployment rates, especially among young workers, have led to protests in countries as varied as Latvia, Chile, Greece, Bulgaria and Iceland and contributed to strikes in Britain and France.

Last month, the government of Iceland, whose economy is expected to contract 10 percent this year, collapsed and the prime minister moved up national elections after weeks of protests by Icelanders angered by soaring unemployment and rising prices.

Just last week, the new United States director of national intelligence, Dennis C. Blair, told Congress that instability caused by the global economic crisis had become the biggest security threat facing the United States, outpacing terrorism.

“Nearly everybody has been caught by surprise at the speed in which unemployment is increasing, and are groping for a response,” said Nicolas Véron, a fellow at Bruegel, a research center in Brussels that focuses on Europe’s role in the global economy.

In emerging economies like those in Eastern Europe, there are fears that growing joblessness might encourage a move away from free-market, pro-Western policies, while in developed countries unemployment could bolster efforts to protect local industries at the expense of global trade.

Indeed, some European stimulus packages, as well as one passed Friday in the United States, include protections for domestic companies, increasing the likelihood of protectionist trade battles.

Protectionist measures were an intense matter of discussion as finance ministers from the Group of 7 economies met this weekend in Rome.

While the number of jobs in the United States has been falling since the end of 2007, the pace of layoffs in Europe, Asia and the developing world has caught up only recently as companies that resisted deep cuts in the past follow the lead of their American counterparts.

The International Monetary Fund expects that by the end of the year, global economic growth will reach its lowest point since the Depression, according to Charles Collyns, deputy director of the fund’s research department. The fund said that growth had come to “a virtual halt,” with developed economies expected to shrink by 2 percent in 2009.

“This is the worst we’ve had since 1929,” said Laurent Wauquiez, France’s employment minister. “The thing that is new is that it is global, and we are always talking about that. It is in every country, and it makes the whole difference.”

In Asia, any smugness at having escaped losses on American subprime debt has been erased by growing despair over a plunge in sales among major exporters. On Thursday, Pioneer of Japan said it would abandon the flat-screen television business and cut 10,000 jobs worldwide in response to sagging demand for consumer electronics.

Millions of migrant workers in mainland China are searching for jobs but finding that factories are shutting down. Though not as large as the disturbances in Greece or the Baltics, there have been dozens of protests at individual factories in China and Indonesia where workers were laid off with little or no notice.

The breadth of the problem is also becoming apparent in Taiwan, where exports were down 42.9 percent last month, compared with a year ago, the steepest plunge in Asia.

Chang Yung-yun, a 57-year-old restaurant kitchen worker, was laid off when her employer closed in mid-November. Her son, an engineer, has been put on unpaid vacation for weeks, a tactic that has become common in Taiwan.

“The greatest fear for our people is losing jobs,” Taiwan’s president, Ma Ying-jeou, said in an interview.

Calls for protectionism have resonated among a fearful public. In Britain, refinery and power plant employees walked off the job last month to protest the use of workers from Italy and Portugal at a construction project on the coast. Some held up signs highlighting Prime Minister Gordon Brown’s earlier promise of “British jobs for British workers.”

Unemployment in Britain is expected to rise to 9.5 percent by the middle of 2010, from 6.3 percent now, according to Peter Dixon, an economist with Commerzbank in London. Germany’s jobless rate could rise to 10.5 percent from 7.8 percent, he added.

In France last week, President Nicolas Sarkozy agreed to supply low-interest loans of 3 billion euros, or $3.86 billion, each to PSA Peugeot Citroën and Renault in exchange for an agreement not to lay off French workers.

Reporting was contributed by Keith Bradsher from Taipei, Taiwan; Heather Timmons from New Delhi; Simon Romero and Jenny Carolina González from Bogota, Colombia; and Maïa de la Baume from Paris.

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10 Tips for Taxpayers Hit by the Recession

10 Tips for Taxpayers Hit by the Recession

Published: February 9, 2009

For many tax filers, this tax season may be unlike any other.

If you’ve lost your job, are searching for a new one or attempting to strike out on your own, your tax return may be affected. The same is true if you are collecting unemployment, lost your home in foreclosure or tapped your retirement accounts early.

These tough financial times, in fact, are raising so many, and so varied, tax-related questions that the Internal Revenue Service has set up a special section on its Web site addressing them: What if I lose my job? What if I can’t pay my taxes? What if my income declines?

The answers to these questions could change your usual strategy, which is why many of you need to take extra care when doing your taxes this year. And if there’s any silver lining to earning less money, it may be that you’re more likely to qualify for the many tax breaks that come with limits on how much you can earn to claim them.

Indeed, taxpayers who earned too much to collect the stimulus checks mailed out last year — but have watched their income decline or disappear altogether since then — may have a chance to collect the extra cash now.

When every dollar counts, you want to be sure to take advantage of all breaks available. Below are 10 tips for tax filers feeling the ill effects of the recession:

1. UNEMPLOYMENT The good news is that unemployment benefits were extended last year. The bad news is that those benefits are taxable. Your tax bracket is based on total income, including any money earned before you were laid off. “That catches a lot of people off guard,” said Mark Steber, vice president of tax resources at Jackson Hewitt. You should receive a 1099-G that will show what you received from unemployment and any tax you elected to have withheld. If you didn’t elect to withhold taxes, you may owe them now. Severance and pay for vacation or sick time is also taxable.

2. MORE DEDUCTIONS When you income drops, you’re more likely to qualify for certain tax breaks that phase out if you earn too much money. Tax professionals said that more people are qualifying for the Earned Income Tax Credit, which is aimed at working people and families with low incomes: a married couple filing jointly with two children and an adjusted gross income less than $41,646 in 2008 may be eligible for a maximum tax credit of $4,824. The credit is refundable, which means that even if you do not owe any taxes, you’ll receive the credit in the form of a check from Uncle Sam.

If you’re on the hunt for a new job, many of your costs may also be deductible, as long as you itemize your deductions instead of taking the standard deduction. Deductible expenses include résumé paper, printing, travel expenses, long-distance calls and faxes, postage, even meals and lodging expenses. But job expenses are considered a miscellaneous deduction, which means you can only deduct costs that exceed 2 percent of your adjusted gross income. Since other expenses can also be included in the miscellaneous bucket — from tax preparation fees to work uniforms — be sure you’re including them all, said George Jones, a senior tax analyst at CCH.

If you need to relocate for a new job, moving expenses are deductible for all taxpayers, as long as your new job is located at least 50 miles farther from your old residence than your old job was.

A smaller paycheck will also make it more likely to qualify for the medical deduction: Medical expenses, including health insurance costs, exceeding 7.5 percent of your adjusted gross income are deductible, as long you itemize.

And more taxpayers are also likely to qualify for the child tax credit, the additional child tax credit, as well as the Saver’s Credit, which allows some I.R.A. and 401(k) plan participants to reduce their tax bill by up to $1,000 — even though they’ve already received a tax benefit by excluding their contribution amount from their gross income. But to qualify, married couples filing jointly need to have adjusted gross income of $53,000 or less, according to CCH.

3. REBATE Remember the stimulus checks distributed last year in an attempt to jump-start the economy? If you earned too much to qualify, but your income dropped last year (or you had a child), you may still have a chance to claim it (or more of it). Here’s why: Since the government wanted to get the money into people’s hands quickly, eligibility was based on taxpayers’ 2007 tax returns. But taxpayers have the chance to claim the Recovery Rebate Credit — or a larger portion of it — based on their 2008 income if they didn’t receive the maximum amount.

Single taxpayers with incomes of less than $75,000 will get the full $600 credit, though people with incomes up to $87,000 will receive a reduced amount. Married taxpayers filing jointly with income up to $150,000 will qualify for the $1,200 check, though it phases out completely at $174,000, according to Mr. Jones. You can claim the rebate on line 70 of your 1040 tax return.

4. DISCHARGED DEBT Normally, if a portion of your mortgage debt is forgiven, the amount erased is considered taxable income. But Congress has temporarily lifted that rule for debts wiped out on your primary home. So if your lender restructured your loan and reduced the amount, or you had debt forgiven as part of a foreclosure, you will not owe taxes on that amount — up to $2 million, or $1 million for married people filing separately — as long as the debt reduction occurred from 2007 to 2012, according to Mr. Jones.

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